CHAPTER VII
RETENTTON AND OBLIVISCENCE AS A FUNCTION OF THE TIME
Section 26. Exp1anations of Retention and
Obliviscence
All sorts of ideas, if left to themselves, are
gradually forgotten. This fact is generally known. Groups or series of
ideas which at first we could easily recollect or which recurred
frequently of their own accord and in lively colors, gradually return
more rarely and in paler colors, and can be reproduced by voluntary
effort only with difficulty and in part. After a longer period even
this fails, except, to be sure, in rare instances. Names, faces, bits
of knowledge and experience that had seemed lost for years suddenly
appear before the mind, especially in dreams, with every detail
present and in great vividness; and it is hard to see whence they came
and how they managed to keep hidden so well in the meantime.
Psychologists -- each in accordance with his general standpoint --
interpret these facts from different points of view, which do not
exclude each other entirely but still do not quite harmonise. One set,
it seems, lays most importance on the remarkable recurrence of vivid
images even after long periods. They suppose that of the perceptions
caused by external impressions there remain pale images,
"traces," which, although in every respect weaker and more
flighty than the original perceptions, continue to exist unchanged in
the intensity possessed at present. These mental images can not
compete with the much more intense and compact perceptions of real
life; but where the latter are missing entirely or partly, the former
domineer all the more unrestrainedly. It is also true that the earlier
images are more and more overlaid, so to speak, and covered by the
later ones. Therefore, in the case of the earlier images, the
possibility of recurrence offers itself more rarely and with greater
difficulty. But if, by an accidental and favorable grouping of
circumstances, the accumulated layers are pushed to one side, then, of
course, that which was hidden beneath must alppear, after whatever
lapse of time, in its original and still existent vividness.[1]
For others[2]
the ideas, the persisting images, suffer changes more and more affect
their nature; the concept of obscuration comes in here. Older ideas
are repressed and forced to sink down, so to speak, by the more recent
ones. As time passes one of these general qualities, inner clearness
and intensity of consciousness, suffers damage. Connections of ideas
and series of ideas are subject to the same process of progressive
weakening; it is furthered by a resolution of the ideas into their
components, as a result of which the now but loosely connected members
are eventually united in new combinations. The complete disappearance
of the more and more repressed ideas occurs only after a long time.
But one should not imagine the repressed ideas in their time of
obscuration to be pale images, but rather to be tendencies,
"dispositions," to recreate the image contents forced to
sink down. If these dispositions are somehow supported and
strengthened, it may happen at any one moment that the repressing and
hindering ideas become depressed themselves, and that the apparently
forgotten idea arises again in perfect clearness.
A third view holds that, at least in the case of
complex ideas, obliviscence consists in the crumbling into parts and
the loss of separate components instead of in general obscuration. The
idea of resolution into component parts recently spoken of supplies
here the only explanation. "The image of a complex object is dim
in our memory not because as a whole with all its parts present and in
order it is illuminated by a feebler light of consciousness, but it is
because it has become incomplete. Some parts of it are entirely
lacking. Above all the precise connection of those still extant is, in
general, missing and is supplied only by the thought that some sort of
union once existed between them; the largeness of the sphere in which,
without being able to make a final decision, we think this or that
connection equally probable, determines the degree of dimness which we
are to ascribe to the idea in question."[3]
Each of these opinions receives a certain, but not
exclusive, support from the actual inner experiences, or experiences
supposed to be actual, which we at times have. And what is the reason?
It is that these fortuitous and easily obtained inner experiences are
much too vague, superficial and capable of various interpretations to
admit in their entirety of only a single interpretation, or even to
let it appear as of preponderating probability. Who could, with even
tolerable exactness, describe in its gradual course the supposed
overlaying or sinking or crumbling of ideas? Who can say anything
satisfactory about the inhibitions caused by series of ideas of
different extent, or about the disintegration that a firm complex of
any kind suffers by the use of its components in new connections?
Everybody has his private "explanation" of these processes,
but the actual conditions which are to be explained are, after all,
equally unknown to all of us.
If one considers the limitation to direct, unaided
observation and to the chance occurrence of useful experiences, there
seems but little prospect of improvement in conditions. How will one
for example determine the degree of obscuration reached at a certain
point, or the number of fragments remaining? Or how can the probable
course of inner processes be traced if the almost entirely forgotten
ideas return no more to consciousness?
Section 27. Methods of Investigation of Actual
Conditions
By the help of our method we have a possibility of
indirectly approaching the problem just stated in a small and
definitely limited sphere, and, by means of keeping aloof for a while
from any theory, perhaps of constructing one.
After a definite time, the hidden but yet existent
dispositions laid down by the learning of a syllable-series may be
strengthened by a further memorisation of the series, and thereby the
remaining fragments may be united again to a whole. The work necessary
for this compared with that necessary when such dispositions and
fragments are absent gives a measure for what has been lost as well as
for what remains. The inhibitions which idea-groups of different sorts
or extents may occasion in relation to others must, as a result of the
interposition of well defined complexes of ideas between learning and
relearning, betray itself in the more or less increased work of
relearning. The loosening of a bond of connection by some other use of
its components can be investigated in a similar manner as follows:
after a certain series has been studied, new combinations of the same
series are memorised and the change in the amount of work necessary
for relearning the original combination is then ascertained.
First, I investigated the first mentioned of these
relations and put the question: If syllable series of a definite kind
are learned by heart and then left to themselves, how will the process
of forgetting go on when left merely to the influence of time or the
daily events of life which fill it? The determination of the losses
suffered was made in the way described: after certain intervals of
time, the series memorised were relearned, and the times necessary in
both cases were compared.
The investigations in question fell in the year
1879-80 and comprised 163 double tests. Each double test consisted in
learning eight series of 13 syllables each (with the exception of 38
double tests taken from 11-12 A.M. which contained only six series
each) and then in relearning them after a definite time. The learning
was continued until two errorless recitations of the series in
question were possible. The relearning was carried to the same point;
it occurred at one of the following times, -- namely, after about one
third of an hour, after 1 hour, after 9 hours, one day, two days, six
days, or 31 days.
The times were measured from the completion of the
first set of first learnings, as a consequence of which no great
accuracy was required in case of the longer intervals. The influence
of the last four intervals was tested at three different times of day
(p.33 [end of Chapter III]). Some preliminary remarks are necessary
before the results obtained can be communicated.
Similar experimental conditions may be taken for
granted in the case of the series relearned after a number of whole
days. At any rate there is no way of meeting the actual fluctuations
even when external conditions are as far as possible similar, other
than by a multiplication of the tests. Where the inner dissimilarity
was presumably the greatest, namely after the interval of an entire
month, I approximately doubled the number of tests.
In the case of an interval of nine hours and an
interval of one hour between learning and relearning, there existed,
however, a noticeably constant difference in the experimental
conditions. In the later hours of the day mental vigor and receptivity
are less. The series learned in the morning and then relearned at a
later hour, aside from other influences, require more work for
relearning than they would if the relearning were done at a time of
mental vigor equal to that of the original learning. Therefore, in
order to become comparable, the numerical values found for relearning
must suffer a diminution which, at least in the case of the 8 hour
interval, is so considerable that it cannot be neglected. It must be
ascertained how much longer it takes to learn at the time of day, B,
series which were learned in a seconds at the time of day, A. The
actual determination of this quantity presupposes more tests than I,
up to the present, possess. If a necessary but inexact correction is
applied to the numbers found for 1 and for 8 hours, these become even
more unreliable than if left to themselves.
In the ease of the smallest interval, one third of an
hour, the same drawback reappears, though to a less degree; but it is
probably compensated for by another circumstance. The interval as a
whole is so short that the relearning of the first series of a test
followed almost immediately or after an interval of one or two minutes
upon the learning of the last series of the same test. For this reason
the whole formed so to speak, one continuous test in which the
relearning of the series took place under increasingly unfavorable
conditions as regards mental freshness. But on the other hand the
relearning after such a short interval was done rather quickly. It
took hardly half of the time required for the learning. By this means
the interval between the learning and relearning of a certain series
became gradually smaller. The later series therefore had more
favorable conditions with regard to the time interval. In view of the
difficulty of more accurate determinations, I have taken it for
granted that these two supposed counteracting influences approximately
compensated each other.
Section 28. Results
In the following table I denote by:
L the time of first learning of the series in seconds,
just as they were found, therefore including the time for the two
recitations.
WL the time for relearning the series also including
the recitations.
WLk the time of relearning reduced where necessary by
a correction.
D
the difference L-WL or L-WLk, as the case may
be -- that is, the saving of work in the case of relearning.
Q the relation of this saving of work to the time
necessary for the first learning, given as a per cent. In the
calculation of this quotient I considered only the actual learning
time, the time for recitation having been subtracted.[4]
The latter was estimated as being 85 seconds for two
recitations of 8 series of 13 syllables each; that would correspond to
a duration of 0.41 seconds for each syllable (p. 31 [Chapter III,
Section 15]).
Thus Q= (100D )/(L-85)
Finally A, B, C mean the previously mentioned times of day,
10-11A.M., 11-12 A. M., 6-8 P. M.








A hasty glance at the figures above reveals the fact
that for each interval of time the savings in work which become
evident when the series is relearned have very fluctuating values.
(This saving in work is each time the measure for the amount
remembered at the end of the interval.) This is especially the case
with their absolute values (D ), but is
also the case with the relative values (Q). The results are taken from
the earlier period and suffer from several disturbing influences to
which my attention was first drawn by the tests themselves.
In spite of all irregularities in detail, however,
they group themselves as a whole with satisfactory certainty into an
harmonious picture. As a proof of this the absolute amount of the
saving in work is of less value. The latter evidently depends upon the
time of day -- i.e., upon the changes in the time of the first
learning dependent upon it. When this change is greatest (time C), D
also is greatest; for the time B, they are in 3/4 of the cases larger
than for the time A (after multiplying by 4/3). On the other hand, the
values (Q) found for the relation of each saving of work to the time
originally spent, are apparently almost independent of this ratio.
Their averages are close together for all three times of day, and do
not show any character of increase or decrease in the later hours.
Accordingly I here tabulate the latter.

Section 29. Discussion of Results
1. It will probably be claimed that the fact that
forgetting would be very rapid at the beginning of the process and
very slow at the end should have been foreseen. However, it would be
just as reasonable to be surprised at this initial rapidity and later
slowness as they come to light here under the definite conditions of
our experiment for a certain individual, and for a series of 13
syllables. One hour after the end of the learning, the forgetting had
already progressed so far that one half the amount of the original
work had to be expended before the series could be reproduced again;
after 8 hours the work to be made up amounted to two thirds of the
first effort. Gradually, however, the process became slower so that
even for rather long periods the additional loss could be ascertained
only with difficulty. After 24 hours about one third was always
remembered; after 6 days about one fourth, and after a whole month
fully one fifth of the first work persisted in effect. The decrease of
this after-effect in the latter intervals of time is evidently so slow
that it is easy to predict that a complete vanishing of the effect of
the first memorisation of these series would, if they had been left to
themselves, have occurred only after an indefinitely long period of
time.
2. Least satisfactory in the results is the difference
between the third and fourth values, especially when taken in
connection with the greater difference between the fourth and fifth
numbers. In the period 9-24 hours the decrease of the after-effect
would accordingly have been 2 1/2 per cent. In the
period 24 to 48 hours it would have been 6.1 per cent; in the later 24
hours, then, about three times as much as in the earlier 15. Such a
condition is not credible, since in the case of all the other numbers
the decrease in the after-effect is greatly retarded by an increase in
time. It does not become credible even under the plausible assumption
that night and sleep, which form a greater part of the 15 hours but a
smaller part of the 24, retard considerably the decrease in the
after-effect.
Therefore it must be assumed that one of these three
values is greatly affected by accidental influences. It would fit in
well with the other observations to consider the number 33.7 per cent
for the relearning after 24 hours as somewhat too large and to suppose
that with a more accurate repetition of the tests it would be 1 to 2
units smaller. However, it is upheld by observations to be stated
presently, so that I am in doubt about it.
3. Considering the special, individual, and uncertain
character of our numerical results no one will desire at once to know
what "law" is revealed in them. However, it is noteworthy
that all the seven values which cover intervals of one third of an
hour in length to 31 days in length (thus from singlefold to
2,000fold) may with tolerable approximation be put into a rather
simple mathematical formula. I call:
t the time in minutes counting from one minute
before the en(l of the learning,
b the saving of work evident in relearning, the
equivalent of the amount remembered from the first learning expressed
in percentage of the time necessary for this first learning,
c and k two constants to be defined
presently
Then the following formula may be written:
b = 100k/((log t)c +k)
By using common logarithms and with merely approximate estimates,
not involving exact calculation by the method of least squares,
k = 1.84
c = 1.25
Then the results are as follows:

The deviations of the calculated values from the
observed values surpass the probable limits of error only at the
second and fourth values. With regard to the latter I have already
expressed the conjecture that the test might have given here too large
a value; the second suffers from an uncertainty concerning the
correction made. By the determination made for t, the formula
has the advantage that it is valid for the moment in which the
learning ceases and that it gives correctly b=100. In the
moment when the series can just be recited, the relearning, of course,
requires no time, so that the saving is equal to the work expended.
Solving the formula for k we have
k = b(log t)c/(100-b)
This expression, 100-b the complement of the
work saved, is nothing other than the work required for relearning,
the equivalent of the amount forgotten from the first learning.
Calling this, v, the following simple relation results:
b/v = k/(log t)c
To express it in words: when nonsense series of 13 syllables each
were memorised and relearned after different intervals, the quotients
of the work saved and the work required were about inversely
proportional to a small power of the logarithm of those intervals of
time. To express it more briefly and less accurately: the quotients of
the amounts retained and the amounts forgotten were inversely as the
logarithms of the times.
Of course this statement and the formula upon which it
rests have here no other value than that of a shorthand statement of
the above results which have been found but once and under the
circumstances described. Whether they possess a more general
significance so that, under other circumstances or with other
individuals, they might find expression in other constants I cannot at
the present time say.
Section 30. Control Tests
At any rate, even though only for my own case, I can
to a certain extent give support to two of the values mentioned by
tests which were made at other periods.
From a period even further back than that of the
investigations above mentioned I possess several tests with series of
ten syllables, fifteen series composing one test. The series were
first memorised and then, at an average of 18 minutes after the first
learning, each series was relearned. Six tests had the following
results:--

When relearning series of ten syllables each, 18
minutes after the first memorisation, 56 per cent of the work
originally expended was therefore saved. The number agrees
satisfactorily with the one found above (p. 68 [section 28]) for the
relearning of series of syllables of 13 syllables each after 19
minutes, 58 per cent. Also the fact that the latter, notwithstanding
the longer interval, is still a little greater, harmonises completely,
as will be seen, with the results of the next chapter. According to
them, shorter series, when memorised, are forgotten a little more
quickly than longer once.
From the period of 1883-84, I have seven tests,
consisting of nine series of 12 syllables each that were relearned 24
hours after the first memorisation. The following results were
obtained:

The after-effect of the first memorisation still
noticeable after 24 hours, was here equivalent to a saving of work of
33.4 per cent of the first expenditure. This number also agrees
satisfactorily with the one communicated above for the relearning of
series of 13 syllables each after 24 hours (33.7 per cent), although
these two were obtained at far separated time-periods and in the
course of widely different investigations.
Footnotes
[1] This is the
opinion of Aristotle and is still authoritative for many people.
Lately, for instance, Delboeuf has taken it up again, and has used it
as a complement to his "théorie générale de la sensibilité."
In his article, Le sommeil et les rêves (Rev. Philos. IX, p.
153 f.), he says: Nous voyons maintenant que tout acte de sentiment,
de pensée ou de volition en vertu d'une loi universelle imprime en
nous une trace plus ou moins profonde, mais indélébile, généralement
gravée sur une infinité de traits antérieurs, surchargée plus tard
d'une autre infinité de linéaments de toute nature. mais dont l'écriture
est néanmoins indéfiniment susceptible de reparaître vive et nette
au jour." (We see now that by a general law every act of feeling,
thought or will leaves a more or less deep but indelible impress upon
our mind, that such a tracing is usually graven upon an infinite
number of previous traces and later is itself overlaid with
innumerable others but nevertheless is still capable of vivid and
clear reappearance.) It is true that he proceeds: "néanmoins . .
. il y a quelque vérité dans l'opinion qui veut que la mémoire non
seulement se fatigue mais s'oblitère" (nevertheless . . . there
is some truth in the opinion that memory not only becomes fatigued but
that it disappears"), but he explains this by the theory that one
memory might hinder another from appearing. Si un souvenir ne chasse
pas l'autre, on peut du moins prétendre qu'un souvenir empêche
l'autre et qu'ainsi pour la substance cérébrale, chez l'individu, il
y a un maximum de saturation." (If one recollection does not
actually drive out another, it may at least be maintained that one
recollection hinders the other and that thus the brain of each
individual is saturtated.)
The curious theory of Bain and others that each idea
is lodged in a separate ganglion cell, an hypothesis impossible both
psychologically and physiologically, is also rooted to a certain
extent in Aristotle's view.
[2]
Herbart and his adherents. See, for instance, Waitz, Leehrbuch der
Psychologie Sect. 16
[3] Lotze, Metaphysik (1879), p. 521;
also Mikrokosoms (3) I, p. 231 ff.
[4] A theoretically correct
determination of the Probable Errors of the differences and quotients
found would be very difficult and troublesome. The directly observed
values L and WL would have to be made the basis of it. But the
ordinary rules of the theory of errors cannot he applied to these
values, because these rules are valid only for observations gained
independently of one another, whereas L and WL are inwardly connected
because they were obtained from the same series. The source of error,
"difficulty of the series," does not vary by chance, but in
the same way for each pair of values. Therefore I took here the
learning and relearning of the series as a single test and the
resulting D or Q, as the case may be, as
its numerical representative. From the independently calculated D
and Q, the probable errors were then calculated just as from directly
observed values. That is sufficient for an approximate estimate of the
reliability of the numbers.